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Criminality and economic conditions

Chapter 43: Bavaria.
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About This Book

The work surveys historical and contemporary writings on the relation between economic circumstances and criminal behavior, reviewing precursors, moral statisticians, the Italian and French criminological schools, bio-socialist and spiritualist perspectives, and socialist analyses. It evaluates statistical studies and theoretical claims about property, prices, industrialization, and social movements, compares competing methodologies, and highlights complexities and contested findings in linking poverty and prosperity to crime rates. The author synthesizes criticisms and evidence to offer a cautious, empirically minded conclusion about the multifaceted influence of economic conditions on criminality.

[Contents]

VIII.

A. Von Oettingen.27

In chapter IV (“Die ungeordnete Geschlechtsgemeinschaft und die Prostitution”), the author treats of the influence of the fluctuations of price in certain important articles of food upon crimes against property, against morals, against persons, and incendiary crimes (Prussia).28

Percentage.

Year. Offenses against Morals. Arson. Offenses against Property. Offenses against Persons. Combined Price per Bushel of Wheat, Rye, and Potatoes in Groschen.
1854 2.26 0.43 88.41 8.90 218.1
1855 2.57 0.46 88.93 8.04 252.3
1856 2.65 0.43 87.60 9.32 203.3
1857 4.14 0.53 81.52 13.81 156.3
1858 4.45 0.60 77.92 17.03 149.3
1859 4.68 0.52 78.17 16.63 150.6
Average 3.34 0.48 84.42 11.76 188.2

This table shows then: first, that crimes against property diminish as prices fall; second, that under these same conditions crimes against morals and against persons increase.

—We must be on our guard, however, against drawing false conclusions from this second fact. The relationship in question is observed only during a certain period and in certain countries, and is not to be regarded as a law of nature, i.e., it must not be understood that an improvement in economic conditions invariably causes an increase in sexual and violent crimes. If this were the case, the well-to-do classes, who are always in a position to provide for all their needs, would furnish most of the criminals of this description. The facts show just the contrary to occur everywhere. (See Part Two, where I treat this subject fully.)—

In the chapter, “Die social ethische Lebensbethätigung in der bürgerlichen Rechtsphäre,” the author treats our subject more fully. Reasoning from different data taken from other authors, he points out the connection between economic conditions on the one hand and vagabondage and mendicity on the other. Having shown a considerable [54]increase in these offenses in the revolutionary period of 1848, he attributes this increase to the lack of social discipline, for the price of provisions was then low. We pass all this part of von Oettingen’s book in silence, his data being taken for the most part from other authors. We would merely point out his error in ranking the year 1848 among those economically favorable because of the fall in the price of food. As a matter of fact there was a terrible economic crisis in Europe at the time.

We take the following data from the section entitled “Getreidepreise und Kriminalität.”

To 100 complaints there were (in Prussia):

Years. Crimes against Price of Rye per Bushel.
Property. Persons.
% % Sgr. Pf.
1862 44.3 15.8 63 .10
1863 41.6 17.0 54 .3
1864 41.6 18.4 45 .6
1865 38.5 17.7 49 .11
1866 44.4 14.5 58 .5
1867 50.2 13.1 79 .0
1868 52.3 13.8 78 .8
1869 45.7 14.3 64 .7

We find here this rule, that a rise in the price of food is accompanied by an increase in the crimes against property and a decrease in crimes against persons, and vice versa. This table also shows that, if a very pronounced rise in prices has caused a great increase in criminality, the later fall in prices does not make itself felt in the number of crimes until some time after its commencement. (See 1867–1868.)

This phenomenon is very distinctly shown by the following table:

Years. Cases Tried. Total Price of a Bushel of Wheat,
of Rye, and of Potatoes
in Groschen.
1854 644,483 221.6
1855 686,207 241.4
1856 766,628 228.4
1857 705,291 161.1

It was only in 1857, then, that the fall in prices, beginning in 1856, commenced to produce its effect.

In conclusion we call attention to the following tables: [55]

Saxony.

Years. Crimes Against Price of Wheat, of Rye, and
of Potatoes per Bushel.
Property. Persons.
Gr.
1860 37.25 35.04 170
1861 40.28 33.10 181
1862 38.78 34.65 173
1863 36.56 35.09 147

Bavaria.

Years. Crimes Against Price of Wheat, of Rye, and of Potatoes per Bushel.
Property. Persons.
Fl. Kr.
1862/63 38.38 33.16 14,48
1863/64 36.16 37.72 12,16
1864/65 36.55 39.79 11,53
1865/66 33.42 41.18 10,57

Here is another proof of the rule, then, that crimes against property decrease and those against persons increase as prices fall.