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Definition & Reality in the General Theory of Political Economy

Chapter 2: Thomas Colignatus
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The author extends Keynesian macroeconomics by treating government action as endogenous and incorporating policy stagnation into a comprehensive political economy. A Definition & Reality methodology is offered and applied through structural and reduced-form models that address heterogeneous labor markets, nonlinear taxation, subsistence constraints, and the Phillips curve, aiming to explain persistent unemployment and stagflation. The text critiques mainstream economic practice, presents stylized facts, and advances institutional reform proposals — notably an Economic Supreme Court — alongside diagnostic tools and policy prescriptions intended for economists and democratic legislators.

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Title: Definition & Reality in the General Theory of Political Economy

Author: Thomas Cool

Release date: May 30, 2005 [eBook #15939]
Most recently updated: July 31, 2020

Language: English

*** START OF THE PROJECT GUTENBERG EBOOK DEFINITION & REALITY IN THE GENERAL THEORY OF POLITICAL ECONOMY ***

Definition & Reality
in the
General Theory of Political Economy

Thomas Colignatus

Dutch University Press

&

Samuel van Houten Genootschap

This text is made available by the copyright owner as an etext for the Project Gutenberg (see http://www.gutenberg.org). The Project Gutenberg header specifies under what general conditions the book may be distributed while associated with the Project Gutenberg trademark. Additional conditions are: (a) No commercial use or resale of the etext is allowed, (b) Hardcopy prints are to be acquired at the publisher Dutch University Press (see http://www.rozenbergps.com and ISBN 90-3619-172-6) or their designated partners. Please note that the etext uses HTML so that the etext layout will differ significantly from the official layout.

2nd edition, January 2005
(The first edition was in March & June 2000)

Copyright © Thomas H.A.M. Cool
http://www.dataweb.nl/~cool, cool@dataweb.nl

Colignatus is the preferred name of Thomas Cool in science.

Lawful exceptions excluded, nothing of this publication may be copied or published by means of print, photocopy, microfilm, electronics or otherwise, unless a written permit has been given by the lawful owners of the copyright, and this also holds for whole or partial reworkings.

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CIP-GEGEVENS KONINKLIJKE BIBLIOTHEEK ’S-GRAVENHAGE

Prologue

The basic idea of this book is that Keynes’s General Theory is generalised even further by including endogenous government in the model, so that we arrive at a truly general Political Economy. The world had the Great Depression 1930-1940 and has the Great Stagflation 1970-today and by including ‘stagnation in economic policy making’ in our analysis we find a better explanation. The general theory also advises a democracy to create an Economic Supreme Court as a separate constitutional power, next to the Legislative, Executive and Judicial branches.

This book is primarily directed at my fellow economists and it primarily gives theory and stylized facts. The colleagues will specifically have to understand the ‘Definition & Reality methodology’ before they will appreciate that my analysis is scientifically warranted. Much work remains to be done in practical research. And much work remains to be done by the other professions.

Since the current imbalance of powers has many victims, it may be hoped, none the less, that the parliaments of our democratic nations investigate the issue too, so that there is more hope for improvement in their living conditions. Parliaments should do as Alfred Marshall (1890, 1947:3) wrote:

“Now at least we are setting ourselves seriously to inquire whether it is necessary that there should be any so-called ‘lower-classes’ at all: that is, whether there need be large numbers of people doomed from their birth to hard work in order to provide for others the requisites of a refined and cultured life; while they themselves are prevented by their poverty and toil from having any share or part in that life.”

Books are more stimulating and more enjoyable to read if they are guided by questions and if they cause questions themselves. This book has been written in the style that it provides answers and thus it must be feared to be a dull read. It is too late to change that style. However, some questions are: (1) How is it possible that Europe has an unemployment of about 10% for more than three decades now, and the USA the mirror image of poverty ? (2) Can we really trust our governments ?

With this book ends a project that basically started with the Fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989. My hope is that this book contributes to the fall of some other walls, i.e. the intangible mental ones, consisting of perceptions and conventions - but equally confining.

Contents in Brief

Book I  Introduction                                                                                                                              11

Book II Trias Politica and Economic Supreme Court                                                                    16

Book III Economics ‘as usual’                                                                                                             36

Book IV Presentations for the general public                                                                                 60

Book V Methodology: Definition & Reality                                                                                     69

Book VI Structural models                                                                                                                 87

Book VII Social Choice                                                                                                                      158

Book VIII Supportive notions                                                                                                            186

Book IX Reduced form                                                                                                                       198

Book X Conclusions                                                                                                                           216

Appendices                                                                                                                                           266

The symbol ° is used to indicate market clearing equilibrium (and possibly expectational). The symbol * or E[.]is used for expectations and expectational equilibrium (and possibly market clearing). The symbol °* is used for both, and · for the one or the other (and possibly both).

Contents

Book I  Introduction                                                                                                                              11

1. Order of presentation                                                                                                                    11

2. The general theory                                                                                                                        11

3. Methodology                                                                                                                                 14

Book II Trias Politica and Economic Supreme Court                                                                    16

4. The Trias Politica                                                                                                                           16

5. The economic record of the 20th century                                                                                    18

6. An Economic Supreme Court                                                                                                       24

7. Position of the Court in economic theory                                                                                  26

8. The record of economics itself                                                                                                    26

9. Economics ‘as usual’ and its inadequacy                                                                                  30

10. Four empirical cases                                                                                                                    32

11. The moral imperative                                                                                                                   33

Book III Economics ‘as usual’                                                                                                             36

12. Introduction                                                                                                                                  36

Stylized history                                                                                                                       38

Structure of the argument                                                                                                     41

The difference that it means                                                                                                 42

13. Unemployment via taxes and minimum wage                                                                          43

The earnings distribution                                                                                                      44

Analysing the minimum wage                                                                                              44

The Tax Void                                                                                                                           47

Cause of the Tax Void                                                                                                            48

Development of the Tax Void                                                                                               51

Marginal tax rate & VAT                                                                                                       53

Marginal tax rate & dynamics                                                                                               54

Spillover and domino effects                                                                                                56

Diagnosis and Therapy                                                                                                         56

Stagflation resolved                                                                                                               57

14. The 1974 Duisenberg disaster                                                                                                   59

Book IV Presentations for the general public                                                                                 60

15. Unemployment solved !                                                                                                              60

16. Enable Russia to help itself                                                                                                        64

Parallel                                                                                                                                      64

Risk not chance                                                                                                                      65

Internal not external                                                                                                               65

Conclusion                                                                                                                              66

17. Will the West repeat Versailles ?                                                                                              66

Book V Methodology: Definition & Reality                                                                                     69

18. How to check ?                                                                                                                             69

19. Dealing economically with concepts                                                                                        70

Maximising information power                                                                                             70

Pythagoras and the circle                                                                                                      73

Falsification                                                                                                                             76

Determinism and free will                                                                                                      78

From stylized fact to definition                                                                                             82

Relating to Hicks 1983                                                                                                           83

20. Structural and reduced form                                                                                                       84

21. Direct application to the Economic Supreme Court                                                                85

22. Methodological summary                                                                                                           85

Book VI Structural models                                                                                                                 87

23. A textbook macro-economic model                                                                                           87

The IS-LM model                                                                                                                    87

The production function                                                                                                       89

Dynamics versus statics                                                                                                       90

Phillipscurve                                                                                                                            90

Macro-economic interactions                                                                                               91

24. Heterogeneity and nonlinear taxation                                                                                      92

Heterogeneity versus homogeneity                                                                                    92

Nonlinear versus proportional taxation                                                                              93

Some literature                                                                                                                        93

25. Summary of current views                                                                                                          94

A simple view                                                                                                                          94

A complex view                                                                                                                       96

Efficiency wages intermezzo                                                                                                 96

A more sophisticated view                                                                                                   97

Confusions                                                                                                                              98

26. Heterogeneous labour                                                                                                                99

Dromedary supply                                                                                                                  99

Dutch income distribution data                                                                                          100

Definitions and formulas                                                                                                     102

Amendment to the textbook model on the Phillipscurve                                               106

27. Subsistence                                                                                                                                106

Definitions                                                                                                                             107

Economic literature                                                                                                               109

Types of indexation                                                                                                             109

Formal development                                                                                                             110

28. Phillipscurve                                                                                                                               115

Concepts                                                                                                                                115

A homogeneous Phillipscurve                                                                                           118

On expectations                                                                                                                    121

Heterogeneous Phillipscurves                                                                                           122

More factors that cause a shift                                                                                          122

Crowding out                                                                                                                        123

Poverty                                                                                                                                   124

The submarket Phillipscurves                                                                                            125

Shifting back                                                                                                                         125

29. Tax basics                                                                                                                                   126

Taxes and premiums                                                                                                             126

Common structure                                                                                                                127

Nonlinear tax function                                                                                                         128

Exemption                                                                                                                              129

The marginal rate                                                                                                                  140

Balanced growth                                                                                                                   143

Off balanced growth                                                                                                            144

30. Dynamic curvature of the tax wedge                                                                                      145

Introduction                                                                                                                          145

Formulas                                                                                                                                145

Graphs                                                                                                                                    147

31. Differential impact of the minimum wage on exposed and sheltered sectors                   149

Introduction                                                                                                                          149

Model                                                                                                                                     151

Graphs                                                                                                                                    152

Tables                                                                                                                                     154

Conclusion                                                                                                                            155

32. Dynamic optimality                                                                                                                    155

The Phillipscurve revisited                                                                                                 155

Investment, growth and productivity                                                                               156

Book VII Social Choice                                                                                                                      158

33. Introduction                                                                                                                                158

34. The solution to Arrow’s difficulty in social choice                                                              159

Introduction                                                                                                                          159

Basic concepts                                                                                                                      162

Restatement of Arrow’s Theorem                                                                                      165

A note on the name of APDM                                                                                           167

A lemma                                                                                                                                 167

Rejection of the Arrow Moral Claim (AMC)                                                                    168

Rejection of the Arrow Reasonableness Claim (ARC)                                                   168

Selection of the culprit axiom.                                                                                             169

Examples of consistent constitutions                                                                               170

A reappraisal of the literature                                                                                             170

Conclusion                                                                                                                            172

Addendum: Sen’s restatement in “Development as freedom”                                      172

Addendum: Mas-colell, Whinston and Green, “Microeconomic Theory”                 175

35. Without time, no morality                                                                                                         175

Introduction                                                                                                                          175

Control of natural forces in the social process                                                                176

Three traditional methods                                                                                                   177

Borda Fixed point                                                                                                                 178

Relation to Saari’s work                                                                                                       179

Pareto                                                                                                                                     182

A note on cheating                                                                                                              182

Conclusion                                                                                                                            183

36. Some notes on ethics                                                                                                                183

Book VIII Supportive notions                                                                                                            186

37. On the nature and significance of a free lunch                                                                     186

Some quotes                                                                                                                          186

Consumers surplus                                                                                                              187

Economic growth                                                                                                                  188

Conclusion                                                                                                                            192

38. Proper definitions for uncertainty and risk                                                                            192

Uncertainty                                                                                                                            192

Risk                                                                                                                                         193

Example                                                                                                                                  195

Wrong use in economics 1921-2005                                                                                  196

Book IX Reduced form                                                                                                                       198

39. The possibility of full employment in the welfare state                                                       198

Introduction                                                                                                                          198

Stylized facts                                                                                                                         198

Concepts                                                                                                                                199

The theorem                                                                                                                          201

Graphical presentation                                                                                                         205

40. The possibility of co-ordination                                                                                              206

Stylized facts                                                                                                                         206

Concepts                                                                                                                                207

The special theorem                                                                                                             211

The general theorem                                                                                                            213

On the interaction of the reduced form theorems                                                            214

More on chance                                                                                                                    215

Book X Conclusions                                                                                                                           216

41. Relating to Mankiw’s “Principles”                                                                                          216

42. Relating to Krugman, Phelps, Ormerod and Heilbroner & Milberg                                   219

Introduction                                                                                                                          220

Review of positions and qualities                                                                                      220