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The cycles of speculation

Chapter 30: INDEX
By Thomas Gibson
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Business/ManagementEconomics

About This Book

The text explains how speculative markets move in recurring patterns, combining a theoretical overview of money and the gold supply with practical instruction on instruments and tactics. It distinguishes educated speculation from gambling, emphasizes valuation, general conditions, and trading mechanics, and analyzes dividends, options, margin, borrowing, and market averages. Chapters examine effects of business depressions, undigested securities, and commodity cycles, offer methods for computing rights and assessing safety, and propose indicators of crises alongside trading techniques. Final sections apply cycle analysis to stocks, grain, and cotton and conclude with guidance for avoiding common delusions.

INDEX

  •   Page
  • Accidents: effect of on stock prices, 84
  • Averages: Barometer of, 110
  • Bank Statement, 59, 125
  • British investment bonds: Prices of, 45
  • Business Depression: Effects of on rails and industrials, 105
  • “Calls,” explained, 89
  • Charts: “Composite Common”, 137
  • corn prices, 149
  • cotton prices, 154
  • wheat prices, 147
  • “Composite common”: range of, 133
  • Corn: Area limited, 151
  • chart, 149
  • prices, 146
  • risen more than wheat, 148
  • Cotton: Chart, 154
  • crops in bales, 157
  • cycles of speculation in, 155
  • prices, 156
  • Credits: Expansion of ignored, 75
  • Crises: Indications of, 112
  • principal in last century, 24
  • Crops and Crop Failures:
  • damage issue not to be ignored, 123
  • importance of, 82
  • Dividends: adverse effect on the short seller, 101
  • Dow, Charles H.:
  • rule as to margins necessary, 165
  • Fixed Charges: As factor of safety, 114
  • important to investor, 116
  • percentage of in various railroads, 115
  • Gambling transactions: Percentage against the speculator, 9
  • Gold production:
  • effect in speculative commodities, 53
  • effect on common stocks of railroads, 49
  • effect on securities having a fixed rate of income, 43
  • effect on stocks of industrials, 52
  • influence of on prices, 39
  • Grain: Cycles of speculation in, 145
  • Legislation: As a market factor, 77
  • Manipulation: By creation of false appearances, 22
  • Margins: Necessary to reasonable safety, 163
  • required by scale order operations, 164
  • use and abuse of, 12
  • Market Movements: principal for ten years, 168
  • Money conditions: as a factor of speculation, 59
  • Periodicity: unreliable as basis of speculation, 35, 69
  • Pig Iron: Production in U. S., 29
  • Prices:
  • “Composite” stock, 136
  • corn, 146
  • cotton, 156
  • ordinary swing of in speculative cycle, 113
  • wheat, 146
  • Presidential contest: Influence on prices, 81
  • Privileges, 89
  • “Puts,” explained, 90
  • Railroad: Basic values of, 104
  • Rights: How to compute value of, 109
  • Securities: Entire list should be studied, 166
  • railroad stocks the soundest, 166
  • selection of, 124
  • undigested, 108
  • Speculation: Cycles of, 21
  • possibilities of, 14
  • preliminary hard work needed, 17
  • Stocks: Borrowing and lending, 117
  • cycles of Speculation in, 133
  • “Straddles,” explained, 92
  • Tariff agitation: effect on speculation, 81
  • “Tips”: Operations based on them disastrous, 172
  • Trading: Best method of, 111, 172
  • hypothetical, 15
  • scalping, 120
  • Wheat: Chart, 147
  • prices, 146

Footnotes:

[1] Then 2¾%.

[2] Then 3%.

[3] United States deposits included, $40,633,400.

[4] Reprinted from Moody’s Magazine of August 1906.

[5] Reprinted from Moody’s Magazine of May, 1906.

[6] Reprinted from Moody’s Magazine of June, 1906.