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The Problem of the Rupee, Its Origin and Its Solution

Chapter 5: CHAPTER III
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About This Book

The author examines the historical evolution and theoretical basis of the rupee, tracing how a gold standard shifted into a gold-exchange standard and assessing policy decisions and committee recommendations that produced that transformation. He documents earlier monetary practice, critiques the exchange standard for treating symptoms rather than stabilizing the currency's purchasing power, and disputes prominent economists' defenses. The work combines historical narrative with technical discussion and proposes remedies: restrict minting by government, fix limits on currency issue, and consider replacing coin with inconvertible paper or selling bullion proceeds to restore and maintain monetary stability.

CHAPTER III

THE SILVER STANDARD AND THE EVILS OF ITS INSTABILITY

The economic consequences of this rupture of the par of exchange were of the most far-reaching character. It divided the commercial world into two sharply defined groups, one using gold and the other using silver as their standard money. When so much gold was always equal to so much silver, as was the case previous to 1873, it mattered very little, for the purposes of international transactions, whether a country was on a gold or on a silver standard; nor did it make any difference in which of the two currencies its obligations were stipulated and realized. But when, owing to the dislocation of the fixed par, it was not possible to define how much silver was equal to how much gold from year to year or even from month to month, this precision of value, the very soul of pecuniary exchange, gave place to the uncertainties of gambling. Of course all countries were not drawn into this vortex of perplexities in the same degree and to the same extent, yet it was impossible for any country which participated in international commerce to escape from being dragged into it. This was true of India as it was of no other country. She was a silver-standard country intimately bound to a gold standard country, so that her economic and financial life was at the mercy of blind forces operating upon the relative values of gold and silver which governed the rupee-sterling exchange.

The fall increased the burden of those who were under an obligation to make gold payments. Amongst such the most [pg 88] heavily charged was the Government of India. Owing to the exigencies of its political constitution, that Government has been under the necessity of making certain payments in England to meet: (1) Interest on debt and on the stock of the guaranteed railway companies; (2) expenses on account of the European troops maintained in India; (3) pensions and non-effective allowances payable in England; (4) cost of the home administration;162 and (5) stores purchased in England for use or consumption in India. England being a gold-standard country, these payments were necessarily gold payments. But the revenues of the Government of India out of which these payments were met were received in silver, which was the sole legal-tender money of the country. It is evident that even if the gold payments were a fixed quantity their burden must increase pari passu with the fall in the gold value of silver. But the gold payments were not a fixed quantity. They have ever been on the increase, so that the rupee cost of the gold payments grew both by reason of the growth in their magnitude, and also by reason of the contraction of the medium, i.e. the appreciation of gold, in which they were payable. How greatly this double levy diminished the revenues of India, the figures on the opposite page give a convincing testimony.

TABLE XI

The Increase in the Rupee Cost of Gold Payments163

Financial Year

Average Rate of Exchange for the Year.

Total Excess of Rupees needed to provide for the net Sterling Payments of the Year over those required to meet the Sterling Payments of 1874–75.

Amount of this Excess due to

(1) Fall in the Rate of Exchange over that of 1874–75.

(2) Increase in gold Payments over those of the Year 1874–75.

s.

d.

R

R

R

1875–76

1

9·626

86,97,980

41,13,723

45,84,257

1876–77

1

8·508

3,15,06,824

1,44,68,234

1,70,38,590

1877–78

1

8·791

1,30,05,481

1,14,58,670

1,15,46,811

1878–79

1

7·794

1,85,23,170

1,04,16,718

81,06,452

1879–80

1

7·961

39,23,570

1,65,37,394

−1,26,13,824

1880–81

1

7·956

3,12,11,981

1,92,82,582

1,19,29,399

1881–82

1

7·895

3,18,19,685

1,98,76,786

1,19,42,899

1882–83

1

7·525

−62,50,518

1,86,35,246

−2,48,85,764

1883–84

1

7·536

3,44,16,,685

2,33,46,040

1,10,70,645

1884–85

1

7·308

1,96,25,981

2,48,03,423

51,77,442

1885–86

1

6·254

−1,82,11,346

2,54,95,337

−4,37,06,683

1886–87

1

5·441

4,69,16,788

4,46,68,299

−33,47,376

1887–88

1

4·898

4,63,13,161

4,96,60,536

−33,47,376

1888–89

1

4·379

9,00,38,166

6,59,71,998

2,40,66,168

1889–90

1

4·566

7,75,96,889

6,06,98,370

1,68,98,519

1890–91

1

6·090

9,06,11,857

4,65,48,302

4,40,63,555

1891–92

1

4·733

10,44,44,529

6,54,52,999

3,89,91,530

The effect of such a growing burden on the finance of the Government may well be imagined; the condition of the Government, embarrassing at first, later became quite desperate under this continuously increasing burden. It enforced a policy of high taxation and rigid economy in the finances of the Government. Analysing the resource side of the Indian Budgets from the year 1872–73, we find that there was hardly any year which did not expire without making an addition to the existing imposts of the country. In 1872–73 there commenced the levy of what were called Provincial Rates. The fiscal year 1875–76 witnessed the addition of R.1 per gallon in the excise duty on spirits. In 1877–78 the Pass Duty on Malwa opium was raised from [pg 89] Rs. 600 to Rs. 650 per chest. An addition of a Licence Tax and Local Rates was made in the year 1878–79, and an increase of Rs. 50 per chest took place in the Malwa Opium Duty in the following year. With the help of these imposts the Government expected to place its finances on an adequate basis. By the end of 1882 it felt quite secure and even went so far as to remit some of the taxes, which it did by lowering the customs duties and the Patwari Cess in the North-Western Provinces. But the rapid pace in the fall of the exchange soon showed that a resort to further taxation was [pg 90] necessary to make up for the increased cost of the sterling payments. To the existing burdens, therefore, was added in 1886 an Income Tax, a duty of 5 per cent. on imported and also on non-illuminating petroleum. The Salt Duty was raised in 1888 in India from Rs. 2 to Rs. 2½, and in Burma from 3 annas to R. 1 per maund. The Patwari Cess of the North-Western Provinces, repealed in 1882, was re-imposed in 1888. The rates of duty on imported spirit and the excise duties on spirits were not only raised in 1890, but were afterwards added to in every province. An excise duty on malt liquor was levied in 1893, and another on salted fish at the rate of 6 annas per maund. The yield of the taxes and duties levied from 1882–83 was164 as follows:—

Sources

1882–83.

1892–93.

 

Rs.

Rs.

Salt

5,67,50,000

8,14,90,000

Excise

3,47,50,000

4,97,90,000

Customs

1,08,90,000

1,41,80,000

Assessed Taxes

48,40,000

1,63,60,000

All this additional burden was due to the enhanced cost of meeting the gold payments, and “would not have been necessary but for the fall in the exchange.”165

Along with this increase of resources the Government of India also exercised the virtue of economy in the cost of administration. For the first time in its history the Government turned to the alternative of employing the comparatively cheaper agency of the natives of the country in place of the imported Englishmen. Prior to 1870 the scope of effecting economy along this line was very limited. By the Civil Service Reforms of 1853166 the way was cleared for the appointment of Indians to the posts reserved for the members of the covenanted Civil Service by the statute of [pg 91] 1793.167 But this reform did not conduce to any economy in the cost of the administration, because the Indian members carried the same high scale of salaries as did the English members of the Civil Service. It was when the statute of 1870 (33 Vic. c. 3) was passed permitting the appointment by nomination of non-covenanted Indians to places reserved for the covenanted Civil Service on a lower scale of salary, that a real scope for economy presented itself to the Government of India. Hard pressed, the Government of India availed itself of the possibilities for economy held out by this statute. So great was the need for economy and so powerful was the interest of the Government in reducing its expenditure that it proceeded, notwithstanding increased demands for efficient administration, to substitute the less expensive agency of non-covenanted civilians in place of the more expensive agency of the covenanted civilians. The scale on which this substitution was effected was by no means small, for we find that between 1874 and 1889 the strength of the covenanted service recruited in England was reduced by more than 22 per cent., and was further expected to be reduced by about 12 per cent., by the employment of uncovenanted Indians to the posts usually reserved for covenanted civilians.168 Besides substituting a cheap for a dear agency in the administration, the Government also sought to obtain relief by applying the pruning knife to the rank growth in departmental extravagances.169 Even with such heroic efforts to increase the revenue and reduce the expenditure the finances of the Government throughout the period of the falling exchange were never in a flourishing state.

Much more regrettable was the inability of the Government, owing to its financial difficulties, to find money for useful public works. The welfare of the Indian people [pg 92]

TABLE XII

Revenue and Expenditure of the Government of India

Year.

Average Rate of Exchange.

In India.

In England.

Final Result.

Net Revenue.

Net Expenditure excluding Exchange.

Surplus Revenue.

Net Sterling Revenue.

Exchange.

Surplus (+) or Deficit (−)

d.

R.

R.

R.

£

R.

R.

1874–75

22·156

39,564,216

25,897,098

13,667,118

12,562,101

1,045,239

59,778

1875–76

21·626

40,053,419

24,541,923

15,511,496

12,544,813

1,377,428

1,589,255

1876–77

20·508

38,253,366

25,355,285

12,898,081

13,229,646

2,252,611

−2,584,176

1877–78

20·791

39,275,489

27,658,021

11,617,468

13,756,478

2,123,030

−4,262,040

1878–79

19·794

44,415,139

25,778,928

18,636,211

13,610,211

2,891,902

2,134,098

1879–80

19·961

45,258,197

29,384,030

15,874,167

14,223,891

2,878,169

−1,227,893

1880–81

19·956

44,691,119

34,880,434

9,810,085

11,177,231

2,264,848

−3,031,394

1881–82

19·895

45,471,887

27,717,249

17,754,638

11,737,688

2,421,499

3,595,451

1882–83

19·525

42,526,173

25,500,437

17,025,736

13,299,976

3,050,923

674,837

1883–84

19·536

43,591,273

23,566,381

20,024,892

14,770,257

3,375,158

1,879,477

1884–85

19·308

41,585,347

24,763,779

16,821,568

13,844,028

3,363,986

−386,446

1885–86

18·254

42,635,953

27,352,132

15,283,821

13,755,659

4,329,888

−2,801,726

1886–87

17·441

44,804,774

25,124,335

19,680,439

14,172,298

5,329,714

178,427

1887–88

16·898

45,424,150

25,968,025

19,456,125

15,128,018

6,356,939

−2,028,832

1888–89

16·379

46,558,354

25,051,147

21,507,207

14,652,590

6,817,599

37,018

1889–90

16·566

50,005,810

26,367,855

23,637,955

14,513,155

6,512,767

2,612,033

1890–91

18·090

49,403,819

25,579,727

23,824,092

15,176,866

4,959,055

3,688,171

1891–92

16·733

50,023,142

27,013,618

23,009,524

15,716,780

6,825,909

467,535

[pg 93] depends upon turning to best account the resources which the country possesses. But the people have had very little of the necessary spirit of enterprise in them. The task, therefore, has fallen upon the Government of India to provide the country with the two prime requisites of a sustained economic life, namely a system of transport and a network of irrigation. With this object in view the Government had inaugurated a policy of developing what were called “Extraordinary Public Works,” financed by capital borrowings. For such borrowings India, as was to be expected, hardly offered any market, the people being too poor and their savings too scanty to furnish a modicum of the required capital outlay. Like all Governments of poor peoples, the Government of India had therefore to turn to wealthier countries who had surplus capital to lend. All these countries unfortunately happened to be on the gold standard. As long as it was possible to say that so much gold was equal to so much silver the English investor was indifferent whether the securities of the Government of India were rupee securities or sterling securities. But the fall in the gold value of silver was also a fall in the gold value of the rupee securities, and what was once a secure investment ceased to be so any more. This placed the Government in a difficult position in the matter of financing its extraordinary public works.

The English investor would not invest in the rupee securities. An important customer for the Indian rupee securities was thus lost. The response of the Indian money market was inadequate. To issue sterling securities was the only alternative to enable the Government to tap a bigger and a more constant reservoir for the drawing of capital to India; but as it was bound to increase the burden of the gold payments, which it was the strongest interest of the Government to reduce, the resort to the London money market, unavoidable as it became, was somewhat restrained,170 [pg 94]

TABLE XIII

Price Movements of the Rupee and Sterling Securities of the Government of India171

Year.

Rates of Exchange.

Price of 4 per cent. Rupee Paper.

Price of Sterling India Stock.

In Calcutta.

In London.

4 per cent.

3½ per cent.

3 per cent.

Highest.

Lowest.

Highest.

Lowest.

Highest.

Lowest.

Highest.

Lowest.

Highest.

Lowest.

Highest.

Lowest.

 
                   

1873

22⅞

21⅝

105

101⅞

97

94½

106½

101¼

       

1874

23⅛

21¾

104½

99½

98

94½

103¾

101

       

1875

22 3⁄16

21¼

102⅞

101¾

94

91

106¼

103¼

       

1876

22⅜

18½

101⅞

98¾

89¾

78

105⅞

101⅞

       

1877

22¼

20 9⁄16

98⅞

93¼

88½

81

104⅝

102¼

       

1878

21

18¾

96⅞

93½

82½

75⅜

104⅝

99

       

1879

20⅝

18⅝

94⅞

91¼

80

77¼

105⅜

100⅞

       

1880

20⅜

19¾

100

92 15⁄16

81⅜

77¾

105⅝

102⅛

       

1881

20 1⁄16

19½

104⅝

100

86

81½

106⅜

103⅞

103⅞

100¾

   

1882

20 3⁄16

19 1⁄16

102 1⁄16

95⅝

85

81

105⅛

102⅞

101⅞

99¾

   

1883

19 9⁄16

19 3⁄16

101⅛

97 9⁄16

82

79¾

104⅝

102 7⁄16

103⅛

101⅜

   

1884

19¾

18 15⁄16

100⅝

95 5⁄16

81¾

78¼

104⅜

101⅝

107⅛

101¾

96¼

91¾

1885

19 3⁄16

17 11⁄32

98 7⁄16

92¼

77½

73¼

103 1⁄16

98¾

102¾

97½

91½

85¾

1886

18

16⅛

97¾

97 3⁄16

73

66¼

103½

101¼

102¾

99¾

90⅛

86⅝

1887

18 3⁄16

15⅝

99 3⁄16

95 5⁄16

71 11⁄16

67⅞

102¾

100½

103¼

100¼

92¾

95⅜

1888

17⅛

16

100 3⁄16

97¾

69⅜

66¼

102⅞

100½

107¼

104⅝

98

95

1889

16 15⁄16

16

100⅜

97 1⁄16

69⅛

66⅜

   

109½

106⅞

101⅛

99

1890

20 29⁄32

16⅞

103⅞

96 13⁄16

87¼

68¾

   

108½

105¼

100¾

95¼

1891

18¼

16⅝

107 13⁄16

104 1⁄16

80¾

74¼

   

109½

105

99

94½

1892

16 11⁄16

14⅝

108 15⁄16

103 11⁄15

74½

62

   

109½

106⅛

98½

94⅞

[pg 95] with the result that the expansion of extraordinary public works did not proceed at a pace demanded by the needs of the country. The effects of this financial derangement, consequent on the fall of the exchange, were not confined to the Government of India. They were immediately felt by the municipalities and other local bodies who were dependent upon the Government for financial aid. So long as the cash balances were overflowing in the Treasury of the Government, “one of the most useful ways” to employ them was found in lending a portion of them to these local institutions. As they had just then been inaugurated under the local self-government policy of Lord Ripon's régime, and were looked upon only as an experiment, their taxing and borrowing powers were rigidly limited. Consequently, this financial aid from the Central Government by way of temporary advances was a resource of inestimable value to them. When, however, the cash balances of the Central Government began to diminish owing to the continued losses by exchange, these facilities were severely172 curtailed, so that the very vitality of these institutions was threatened just at the moment when they needed all help to foster their growth and strengthen their foundations.

Addressing the Secretary of State, the Government of India, in a despatch of February 2, 1886, observed173:—

“10. We do not hesitate to repeat that the facts set forth in the preceding paragraphs are, from the point of Indian interests, intolerable; and the evils which we have enumerated do not exhaust the catalogue. Uncertainty regarding the future of silver discourages the investment of capital in India, and we find it impossible to borrow in silver except at an excessive cost.

“On the other hand, the Frontier and Famine Railways which we propose to construct, and the Coast and Frontier defences which we have planned, are imperatively required and cannot be postponed indefinitely.

“We are forced, therefore, either to increase our sterling liabilities, to which course there are so many objections, or [pg 96] to do without the railways required for the commercial development of the country, and its protection against invasion and the effects of famine.

————————

“11. Nor can the difficulties which local bodies experience in borrowing in India be overlooked. The Municipalities of Bombay and Calcutta require large sums for sanitary improvements, but the high rate of interest which they must pay for silver loans operates to deter them from undertaking expensive works, and we need hardly remind your Lordship that it has quite recently been found necessary for Government to undertake to lend the money required for the construction of docks at Calcutta and Bombay, and that when the Port Commissioners of Calcutta attempted to raise a loan of 75 lakhs of rupees in September, 1885, guaranteed by the Government of India, the total amount of tenders was only Rs. 40,200, and no portion of this insignificant amount was offered at par. …”

The importation of capital on private account was hampered for similar reasons, to the great detriment of the country. It was urged on all hands, and was even recommended by a Royal Commission,174 that one avenue of escape from the ravages of recurring famines, to which India so pitifully succumbed at such frequent intervals, was the diversification of her industries. To be of any permanent benefit such diversified industrial life could be based on a capitalistic basis alone. But that depended upon the flow of capital into the country as freely as the needs of the country required. As matters then stood, the English investor, the largest purveyor of capital, looked upon the investment of capital in India as a risky proposition. It was feared that once the capital was spread out in a silver country every fall in the price of silver would not only make the return uncertain when drawn in gold, but would also reduce the capital value of his investment in terms of gold, which was naturally the unit in which he measured all his returns and his outlays. This check to the free [pg 97] inflow of capital was undoubtedly the most serious evil arising out of the rupture of the par of exchange.

Another group of people who suffered from the fall of exchange because of their obligation to make gold payments was composed of the European members of the Civil Service in India. Like the Government to which they belonged, they received their salaries in silver, but had to make gold remittances in support of their families, who were often left behind in England. Before 1873, when the price of silver in terms of gold was fixed, this circumstance was of no moment to them. But as the rupee began to fall the face of the situation was completely altered. With every fall in the value of silver they had to pay more rupees out of their fixed salaries to obtain the same amount of gold. Some relief was no doubt given to them in the matter of their remittances. The Civil Servants were permitted, at a sacrifice to the Government, to make their remittances at what was called the Official Rate of Exchange.175 It is true the difference between the market rate and the official rate was not very considerable. None the less, it was appreciable enough for the Civil Servants to have gained by 2½ per cent. on the average of the years 1862–90176 at the cost of the Government. The Military Servants obtained a similar relief to a greater degree, but in a different way. Their salary was fixed in sterling, though payable in rupees. It is true the Royal Warrant which fixed their salary also fixed the rate of exchange between the sterling and the rupee for that purpose. But as it invariably happened that the rate [pg 98] of exchange fixed by the Warrant was higher than the market rate the Military Servants were compensated to the extent of the difference at the cost of the Indian Exchequer.177 This relief was, comparatively speaking, no relief to them. The official or the warrant rates of exchange, though better than the market rates of exchange, were much lower than the rate at which they were used to make their remittances before 1873. Their burden, like that of the Government, grew with the fall of silver, and as their burden increased their attitude became alarmist. Many were the memorialists who demanded from the Government adequate compensation for their losses on exchange.178 The Government was warned179 that

“the ignorant folk who think India would be benefited by lowering present salaries are seemingly unable to comprehend that such a step would render existence on this reduced pay simply impossible, and that recourse would of necessity be had to other methods of raising money.”

Such, no doubt, was the case in the earlier days of the East India Company, when the Civil Servants fattened on pickings because their pay was small,180 and it was to put a stop to their extortions that their salaries were raised to what appears an extraordinary level. That such former instances of extortions should have been held out as monitions showed too well how discontented the Civil Service was owing to its losses through exchange.

Quite a different effect the fall had on the trade and industry of the country. It was in a flourishing state as [pg 99] compared with the affairs of the Government or with the trade and industry of a gold-standard country like England. Throughout the period of falling silver there was said to be a progressive decline relatively to population in the employment afforded by various trades and industries in England. The textile manufactures and the iron and coal trade were depressed as well as the other important trades, including the hardware manufactures of Birmingham and Sheffield, the sugar-refining of Greenock, Liverpool, and London, the manufactures of earthenware, glass, leather, paper, and a multitude of minor industries.181 The depression in English agriculture was so widespread that the Commissioners of 1892 were “unable to point to any part of the country in which [the effects of the depression] can be said to be entirely absent,” and this notwithstanding the fact that the seasons since 1882 “were on the whole satisfactory from an agricultural point of view.”182 Just the reverse was the case with Indian trade and industry. The foreign trade of [pg 100]