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BOOK
III.
ON INDUCTION.—(Continued.) |
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Chapter
XIV. Of the Limits to the Explanation of Laws of
Nature; and of Hypotheses.
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| § 1. | Can all the sequences in nature be resolvable into one law? | 3 |
| 2. | Ultimate laws cannot be less numerous than the distinguishable feelings of our nature | 4 |
| 3. | In what sense ultimate facts can be explained | 7 |
| 4. | The proper use of scientific hypotheses | 8 |
| 5. | Their indispensableness | 16 |
| 6. | Legitimate, how distinguished from illegitimate hypotheses | 18 |
| 7. | Some inquiries apparently hypothetical are really inductive | 25 |
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Chapter
XV. Of Progressive Effects; and of the Continued
Action of Causes.
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| § 1. | How a progressive effect results from the simple continuance of the cause | 29 |
| 2. | —and from the progressiveness of the cause | 33 |
| 3. | Derivative laws generated from a single ultimate law | 36 |
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Chapter
XVI. Of Empirical Laws.
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| § 1. | Definition of an empirical law | 38 |
| 2. | Derivative laws commonly depend on collocations | 39 |
| 3. | The collocations of the permanent causes are not reducible to any law | 41 |
| 4. | Hence empirical laws cannot be relied on beyond the limits of actual experience | 41 |
| 5. | Generalizations which rest only on the Method of Agreement can only be received as empirical laws | 43 |
| 6. | Signs from which an observed uniformity of sequence may be presumed to be resolvable | 44 |
| 7. | Two kinds of empirical laws | 47 |
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Chapter
XVII. Of Chance, and its Elimination.
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| § 1. | The proof of empirical laws depends on the theory of chance | 49 |
| 2. | Chance defined and characterized | 50 |
| 3. | The elimination of chance | 55 |
| 4. | Discovery of residual phenomena by eliminating chance | 57 |
| 5. | The doctrine of chances | 59 |
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Chapter
XVIII. Of the Calculation of Chances.
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| § 1. | Foundation of the doctrine of chances, as taught by mathematics | 61 |
| 2. | The doctrine tenable | 63 |
| 3. | On what foundation it really rests | 64 |
| 4. | Its ultimate dependence on causation | 68 |
| 5. | Theorem of the doctrine of chances which relates to the cause of a given event | 72 |
| 6. | How applicable to the elimination of chance | 74 |
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Chapter
XIX. Of the Extension of Derivative Laws to Adjacent
Cases.
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| § 1. | Derivative laws, when not casual, are almost always contingent on collocations | 78 |
| 2. | On what grounds they can be extended to cases beyond the bounds of actual experience | 80 |
| 3. | Those cases must be adjacent cases | 82 |
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Chapter
XX. Of Analogy.
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| § 1. | Various senses of the word analogy | 86 |
| 2. | Nature of analogical evidence | 87 |
| 3. | On what circumstances its value depends | 91 |
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Chapter
XXI. Of the Evidence of the Law of Universal
Causation.
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| § 1. | The law of causality does not rest on an instinct | 95 |
| 2. | But on an induction by simple enumeration | 100 |
| 3. | In what cases such induction is allowable | 102 |
| 4. | The universal prevalence of the law of causality, on what grounds admissible | 105 |
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Chapter
XXII. Of Uniformities of Coexistence not dependent on
Causation.
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| § 1. | Uniformities of coexistence which result from laws of sequence | 110 |
| 2. | The properties of Kinds are uniformities of coexistence | 111 |
| 3. | Some are derivative, others ultimate | 113 |
| 4. | No universal axiom of coexistence | 114 |
| 5. | The evidence of uniformities of coexistence, how measured | 117 |
| 6. | When derivative, their evidence is that of empirical laws | 117 |
| 7. | So also when ultimate | 119 |
| 8. | The evidence stronger in proportion as the law is more general | 120 |
| 9. | Every distinct Kind must be examined | 121 |
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Chapter
XXIII. Of Approximate Generalizations, and Probable
Evidence.
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| § 1. | The inferences called probable, rest on approximate generalizations | 124 |
| 2. | Approximate generalizations less useful in science than in life | 124 |
| 3. | In what cases they may be resorted to | 126 |
| 4. | In what manner proved | 127 |
| 5. | With what precautions employed | 130 |
| 6. | The two modes of combining probabilities | 131 |
| 7. | How approximate generalizations may be converted into accurate generalizations equivalent to them | 136 |
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Chapter
XXIV. Of the Remaining Laws of Nature.
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| § 1. | Propositions which assert mere existence | 139 |
| 2. | Resemblance, considered as a subject of science | 141 |
| 3. | The axioms and theorems of mathematics comprise the principal laws of resemblance | 143 |
| 4. | —and those of order in place, and rest on induction by simple enumeration | 145 |
| 5. | The propositions of arithmetic affirm the modes of formation of some given number | 146 |
| 6. | Those of algebra affirm the equivalence of different modes of formation of numbers generally | 151 |
| 7. | The propositions of geometry are laws of outward nature | 154 |
| 8. | Why geometry is almost entirely deductive | 156 |
| 9. | Function of mathematical truths in the other sciences, and limits of that function | 158 |
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Chapter
XXV. Of the Grounds of Disbelief.
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| § 1. | Improbability and impossibility | 161 |
| 2. | Examination of Hume's doctrine of miracles | 162 |
| 3. | The degrees of improbability correspond to differences in the nature of the generalization with which an assertion conflicts | 166 |
| 4. | A fact is not incredible because the chances are against it | 170 |
| 5. | Are coincidences less credible than other facts? | 172 |
| 6. | An opinion of Laplace examined | 175 |
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BOOK
IV.
OF OPERATIONS SUBSIDIARY TO INDUCTION. |
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Chapter
I. Of Observation and Description.
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| § 1. | Observation, how far a subject of logic | 183 |
| 2. | A great part of what seems observation is really inference | 184 |
| 3. | The description of an observation affirms more than is contained in the observation | 187 |
| 4. | —namely an agreement among phenomena; and the comparison of phenomena to ascertain such agreements is a preliminary to induction | 190 |
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Chapter
II. Of Abstraction, or the Formation of Conceptions.
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| § 1. | The comparison which is a preliminary to induction implies general conceptions | 193 |
| 2. | —but these need not be pre-existent | 194 |
| 3. | A general conception, originally the result of a comparison, becomes itself the type of comparison | 198 |
| 4. | What is meant by appropriate conceptions | 200 |
| 5. | —and by clear conceptions | 203 |
| 6. | Further illustration of the subject | 205 |
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Chapter
III. Of Naming, as subsidiary to Induction.
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| § 1. | The fundamental property of names as an instrument of thought | 209 |
| 2. | Names are not indispensable to induction | 210 |
| 3. | In what manner subservient to it | 211 |
| 4. | General names not a mere contrivance to economize the use of language | 213 |
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Chapter
IV. Of the Requisites of a Philosophical Language, and
the Principles of Definition.
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| § 1. | First requisite of philosophical language, a steady and determinate meaning for every general name | 215 |
| 2. | Names in common use have often a loose connotation | 215 |
| 3. | —which the logician should fix, with as little alteration as possible | 218 |
| 4. | Why definition is often a question not of words but of things | 220 |
| 5. | How the logician should deal with the transitive applications of words | 224 |
| 6. | Evil consequences of casting off any portion of the customary connotation of words | 229 |
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Chapter
V. On the Natural History of the Variations in the
Meaning of Terms.
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| § 1. | How circumstances originally accidental become incorporated into the meaning of words | 236 |
| 2. | —and sometimes become the whole meaning | 238 |
| 3. | Tendency of words to become generalized | 240 |
| 4. | —and to become specialized | 243 |
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Chapter
VI. The Principles of a Philosophical Language further
considered.
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| § 1. | Second requisite of philosophical language, a name for every important meaning | 248 |
| 2. | —viz. first, an accurate descriptive terminology | 248 |
| 3. | —secondly, a name for each of the more important results of scientific abstraction | 252 |
| 4. | —thirdly, a nomenclature, or system of the names of Kinds | 255 |
| 5. | Peculiar nature of the connotation of names which belong to a nomenclature | 257 |
| 6. | In what cases language may, and may not, be used mechanically | 259 |
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Chapter
VII. Of Classification, as subsidiary to Induction.
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| § 1. | Classification as here treated of, wherein different from the classification implied in naming | 266 |
| 2. | Theory of natural groups | 267 |
| 3. | Are natural groups given by type, or by definition? | 271 |
| 4. | Kinds are natural groups | 274 |
| 5. | How the names of Kinds should be constructed | 280 |
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Chapter
VIII. Of Classification by Series.
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| § 1. | Natural groups should be arranged in a natural series | 284 |
| 2. | The arrangement should follow the degrees of the main phenomenon | 285 |
| 3. | —which implies the assumption of a type-species | 287 |
| 4. | How the divisions of the series should be determined | 288 |
| 5. | Zoology affords the completest type of scientific classification | 289 |
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BOOK
V.
ON FALLACIES. |
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Chapter
I. Of Fallacies in General.
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| § 1. | Theory of fallacies a necessary part of logic | 295 |
| 2. | Casual mistakes are not fallacies | 297 |
| 3. | The moral sources of erroneous opinion, how related to the intellectual | 297 |
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Chapter
II. Classification of Fallacies.
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| § 1. | On what criteria a classification of fallacies should be grounded | 301 |
| 2. | The five classes of fallacies | 302 |
| 3. | The reference of a fallacy to one or another class is sometimes arbitrary | 305 |
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Chapter
III. Fallacies of Simple Inspection, or à priori
Fallacies.
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| § 1. | Character of this class of Fallacies | 309 |
| 2. | Natural prejudice of mistaking subjective laws for objective, exemplified in popular superstitions | 310 |
| 3. | Natural prejudices, that things which we think of together must exist together, and that what is inconceivable must be false | 314 |
| 4. | Natural prejudice, of ascribing objective existence to abstractions | 321 |
| 5. | Fallacy of the Sufficient Reason | 322 |
| 6. | Natural prejudice, that the differences in nature correspond to the distinctions in language | 325 |
| 7. | Prejudice, that a phenomenon cannot have more than one cause | 329 |
| 8. | Prejudice, that the conditions of a phenomenon must resemble the phenomenon | 332 |
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Chapter
IV. Fallacies of Observation.
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| § 1. | Non-observation, and Mal-observation | 341 |
| 2. | Non-observation of instances, and non-observation of circumstances | 341 |
| 3. | Examples of the former | 342 |
| 4. | —and of the latter | 347 |
| 5. | Mal-observation characterized and exemplified | 352 |
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Chapter
V. Fallacies of Generalization.
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| § 1. | Character of the class | 356 |
| 2. | Certain kinds of generalization must always be groundless | 356 |
| 3. | Attempts to resolve phenomena radically different into the same | 357 |
| 4. | Fallacy of mistaking empirical for causal laws | 359 |
| 5. | Post hoc, ergo propter hoc; and the deductive fallacy corresponding to it | 364 |
| 6. | Fallacy of False Analogies | 366 |
| 7. | Function of metaphors in reasoning | 373 |
| 8. | How fallacies of generalization grow out of bad classification | 375 |
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Chapter
VI. Fallacies of Ratiocination.
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| § 1. | Introductory Remarks | 377 |
| 2. | Fallacies in the conversion and æquipollency of propositions | 377 |
| 3. | Fallacies in the syllogistic process | 379 |
| 4. | Fallacy of changing the premises | 379 |
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Chapter
VII. Fallacies of Confusion.
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| § 1. | Fallacy of Ambiguous Terms | 384 |
| 2. | Fallacy of Petitio Principii | 396 |
| 3. | Fallacy of Ignoratio Elenchi | 405 |
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BOOK
VI.
ON THE LOGIC OF THE MORAL SCIENCES. |
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Chapter
I. Introductory Remarks.
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| § 1. | The backward state of the Moral Sciences can only be remedied by applying to them the methods of Physical Science, duly extended and generalized | 413 |
| 2. | How far this can be attempted in the present work | 415 |
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Chapter
II. Of Liberty and Necessity.
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| § 1. | Are human actions subject to the law of causality? | 417 |
| 2. | The doctrine commonly called Philosophical Necessity, in what sense true | 418 |
| 3. | Inappropriateness and pernicious effect of the term Necessity | 420 |
| 4. | A motive not always the anticipation of a pleasure or a pain | 424 |
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Chapter
III. That there is, or may be, a Science of Human
Nature.
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| § 1. | There may be sciences which are not exact sciences | 426 |
| 2. | To what scientific type the Science of Human Nature corresponds | 429 |
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Chapter
IV. Of the Laws of Mind.
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| § 1. | What is meant by Laws of Mind | 432 |
| 2. | Is there a science of Psychology? | 433 |
| 3. | The principal investigations of Psychology characterized | 435 |
| 4. | Relation of mental facts to physical conditions | 440 |
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Chapter
V. Of Ethology, or the Science of the Formation of
Character.
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| § 1. | The Empirical Laws of Human Nature | 445 |
| 2. | —are merely approximate generalizations. The universal laws are those of the formation of character | 447 |
| 3. | The laws of the formation of character cannot be ascertained by observation and experiment | 449 |
| 4. | —but must be studied deductively | 454 |
| 5. | The Principles of Ethology are the axiomata media of mental science | 455 |
| 6. | Ethology characterized | 459 |
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Chapter
VI. General Considerations on the Social Science.
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| § 1. | Are Social Phenomena a subject of Science? | 461 |
| 2. | Of what nature the Social Science must be | 463 |
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Chapter
VII. Of the Chemical, or Experimental, Method in the
Social Science.
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| § 1. | Characters of the mode of thinking which deduces political doctrines from specific experience | 466 |
| 2. | In the Social Science experiments are impossible | 468 |
| 3. | —the Method of Difference inapplicable | 469 |
| 4. | —and the Methods of Agreement, and of Concomitant Variations, inconclusive | 471 |
| 5. | The Method of Residues also inconclusive, and presupposes Deduction | 472 |
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Chapter
VIII. Of the Geometrical, or Abstract Method.
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| § 1. | Characters of this mode of thinking | 476 |
| 2. | Examples of the Geometrical Method | 478 |
| 3. | The interest-philosophy of the Bentham school | 479 |
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Chapter
IX. Of the Physical, or Concrete Deductive Method.
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| § 1. | The Direct and Inverse Deductive Methods | 486 |
| 2. | Difficulties of the Direct Deductive Method in the Social Science | 489 |
| 3. | To what extent the different branches of sociological speculation can be studied apart. Political Economy characterized | 492 |
| 4. | Political Ethology, or the science of national character | 497 |
| 5. | The Empirical Laws of the Social Science | 500 |
| 6. | The Verification of the Social Science | 502 |
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Chapter
X. Of the Inverse Deductive, or Historical Method.
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| § 1. | Distinction between the general Science of Society, and special sociological inquiries | 506 |
| 2. | What is meant by a State of Society? | 506 |
| 3. | The Progressiveness of Man and Society | 508 |
| 4. | The laws of the succession of states of society can only be ascertained by the Inverse Deductive Method | 511 |
| 5. | Social Statics, or the science of the Coexistences of Social Phenomena | 513 |
| 6. | Social Dynamics, or the science of the Successions of Social Phenomena | 521 |
| 7. | Outlines of the Historical Method | 522 |
| 8. | Future prospects of Sociological Inquiry | 525 |
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Chapter
XI. Additional Elucidations of the Science of History.
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| § 1. | The subjection of historical facts to uniform laws is verified by statistics | 529 |
| 2. | —does not imply the insignificance of moral causes | 532 |
| 3. | —nor the inefficacy of the characters of individuals and of the acts of governments | 535 |
| 4. | The historical importance of eminent men and of the policy of governments illustrated | 540 |
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Chapter
XII. Of the Logic of Practice, or Art; including
Morality and Policy.
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| § 1. | Morality not a science, but an Art | 544 |
| 2. | Relation between rules of art and the theorems of the corresponding science | 544 |
| 3. | What is the proper function of rules of art? | 546 |
| 4. | Art cannot be Deductive | 548 |
| 5. | Every Art consists of truths of Science, arranged in the order suitable for some practical use | 549 |
| 6. | Teleology, or the Doctrine of Ends | 550 |
| 7. | Necessity of an ultimate standard, or first principle of Teleology | 552 |
| 8. | Conclusion | 554 |